US Household PulseThe United States economy,
from the household inward
4 series not refreshed · updated Nov 2, 2026 Methodology
CPI 3.7%Unemployment 4.2%30Y mortgage 7.24%Saving 3.8¢ per $1Debt service 11.11%Fed funds 3.88%10Y Treasury 4.98%U.S. debt $40.594TDebt / household $301,162Household pressure 43.2

How fast are prices rising?

Inflation rate

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), all items, compared with the same month a year earlier. This is the headline inflation figure the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes each month.

3.7%
Change from a year ago, September 2026
+0.7 pts from a year earlier
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Change from a year ago
−20.0%−10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%192019301940195019601970198019902000201020203.7%
Shaded: U.S. recessions (NBER)

What this measures

The CPI tracks what urban households pay for a fixed basket of goods and services: food, rent and owners’ housing costs, energy, cars, medical care, education and more. The year-over-year change is computed from the index that is not seasonally adjusted, which is how BLS reports the headline number.

Inflation near 2% is the Federal Reserve’s long-run goal (it targets a different measure, the PCE price index, which usually runs a little below CPI). Readings far above that erode paychecks that don’t keep pace; readings below zero, as in 2009, usually signal a weak economy.

Shelter is about a third of the index, so housing costs move the headline more than any other category.

Source: BLS Consumer Price Index via FRED (CPIAUCNS). Updated automatically when the source publishes. How we handle data · Embed this chart

The household economy, once a month

A short email after each month’s inflation and jobs data: what changed, what it means for a household budget, and nothing else.