US Household PulseThe United States economy,
from the household inward
1 series not refreshed · updated Nov 2, 2026 Methodology
CPI 3.7%Unemployment 4.2%30Y mortgage 7.24%Saving 3.8¢ per $1Debt service 11.11%Fed funds 3.88%10Y Treasury 4.94%U.S. debt $40.594TDebt / household $301,162Household pressure 43.2

How fast are housing costs rising?

Shelter inflation

The shelter component of CPI-U, year over year. It covers rent of primary residence, owners’ equivalent rent and lodging away from home.

3.2%
Change from a year ago, September 2026
−0.4 pts from a year earlier
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Change from a year ago
−5.0%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%19601970198019902000201020203.2%
Shaded: U.S. recessions (NBER)

What this measures

Shelter is the largest single piece of the Consumer Price Index. Most of it is owners’ equivalent rent: an estimate of what homeowners would pay to rent their own homes, not home prices or mortgage payments.

Because leases renew slowly, shelter inflation lags market rents by roughly a year. That is why it kept rising through 2023 after new-lease rents had already cooled.

Source: BLS CPI shelter index via FRED (CUUR0000SAH1). Updated automatically when the source publishes. How we handle data · Embed this chart

The household economy, once a month

A short email after each month’s inflation and jobs data: what changed, what it means for a household budget, and nothing else.